摩根大通发表报告，在2025年上半年业绩报告前上调对中国寿险行业的评级。该行将中国人寿及新华保险H股的评级从“减持”上调至“增持”，A股评级则上调至“中性”。此次重新定位反映该行整体看好H股的信念，H股目前相较A股折让33%。该行列出三大驱动因素：产品组合优化加速，提升盈利能力；监管放宽及偿付能力资本措施改善利润率；稳健的股市表现支持持续的盈利预测上调。另外，寿险行业H股平均2026财年市盈率7倍及4%股息收益率，鉴于投资者持仓偏低，显得具吸引力。 摩通预测2025年上半年主要中国保险公司的净利润平均按年增长15%，受惠于稳健的股市表现(上证综指年内至今上涨7%)、债券估值收益及稳定的承保结果。该行预计派息比率将从平均18%降至16%。该行的优先级为：中国人寿、中国平安、新华保险、中国财险、人保及太保。
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