ChainCatcher 消息，SWBC 首席投资官 Chris Brigati 表示，他依然对美联储今年降息持怀疑态度。最可能的情况是今年只降息一次，甚至零次的可能性更大。美联储在政策沟通上保持高度一致，对决策进程保持着审慎耐心。本周特朗普将有机会任命新的美联储理事，这会改变美联储内部投票成员立场分布。
Brigati 还表示，他对降息持保留态度的核心原因，仍然是挥之不去的通胀粘性问题。美联储已多次强调对通胀粘性的高度关注。尽管他们此前一直淡化就业数据的影响，最近态度似乎有所松动。但是，除非看到更多明确的就业市场恶化迹象，否则降息幅度将十分有限。目前仅能参考最新非农数据这一个有限指标，但真正令人担忧的是通胀可能持续高企甚至加剧。若美联储在通胀居高不下或回升时降息，势必会引发新的政策困境。
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