大行评级|瑞银:预计HIBOR将在第三季底稳定在2%至2.5% 香港银行股首选中银香港

格隆汇
Aug 20

瑞银发表研究报告,预计HIBOR将在第三季底稳定在2%至2.5%。在中短期(3至6个月)内,中银香港仍是该行所覆盖的香港银行股首选,但预计短期内股价可能有所回落。该行对中银香港和东亚银行持“中性”评级,对恒生银行评级则为“沽售”。 瑞银指,虽然HIBOR反弹有利于银行的净息差和净利息收入,但认为市场已预期HIBOR在今年余下时间稳定在2%至2.5%。该行预计第三季净利息收入的压缩压力将高于第二季,因为第二季的负面影响仅持续约一个月,且随着利率上升,贷款需求可能再次疲软。该行认为在5至6月贷款余额增长2%后,增长势头能否持续仍需观察。对于2025年的预测,该行预计中银香港、恒生银行和东亚银行的净利息收入将分别下降7%、9%和11%。

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