调查:经济学家预测鲍威尔任期届满后,美联储将更强调降息和促进就业

金融界
Sep 02, 2025
美国总统特朗普频频干预美联储,引发了市场的担忧,即美联储制定利率以控制通胀的权力将受到损害。根据英国《金融时报》对来自美国和欧洲的94位经济学家的调查,超过四分之一的经济学家担心,到特朗普2029年任期结束时,美联储将无法再独立设定利率、免受政治干预。有45%的人认为,现在判断美联储未来将处于何种状态还为时过早。还有28%的受访者持谨慎乐观态度,他们预测,虽然美联储的独立性在特朗普任期结束前会有所削弱,但仍能履行职责。 另外,52%的受访者预计,随着鲍威尔明年任期届满,美联储的政策重点就会发生变化,央行将更强调降息和促进就业,而这以牺牲价格稳定为代价。经济学家一致认为,如果特朗普的攻击导致央行独立性被削弱,将严重损害美国经济。

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