对二甲苯累库周期持续 短期内盘面或震荡调整运行

金投网
Sep 30

  9月30日盘中,对二甲苯期货主力合约弱势震荡,最低下探至6516.0元。截止发稿,对二甲苯主力合约报6558.0元,跌幅1.59%。

  对二甲苯期货主力跌超1%,对于后市行情如何,相关机构该如何评价?

机构

核心观点

西南期货

短期PX或震荡调整

五矿期货

短期PX观望

中辉期货

短期PX受原油价格波动影响较大

  西南期货:短期PX或震荡调整

  短期PX供需维持紧平衡,PXN价差较为坚挺,成本端近期反弹存支撑,但供应增加略压制盘面,短期PX或震荡调整,节前注意控制仓位,警惕国庆期间外盘原油变动,关注宏观政策变化。

  五矿期货:短期PX观望

  目前PX负荷维持高位,下游PTA短期意外检修较多,整体负荷中枢较低,且PTA新装置预期推迟投产,PX检修推迟,预期导致PX累库周期持续,目前缺乏驱动,PXN承压。估值目前中性偏低水平,关注后续终端和PTA估值回暖情况,短期建议观望。

  中辉期货:短期PX受原油价格波动影响较大

  华东现货、基差略有走弱,芳烃重整价差持续走弱。供应端国内外装置变动不大,需求端PTA近期受天气影响计划外降负有所增加,供需平衡偏紧预期宽松,PX去库但整体依旧偏高。今年以来PXN不低。成本端方面,俄罗斯炼油设施持续受袭,原油波动加剧;但OPEC+组织10.5计划在11月再次提高原油产量,油价整体承压下行。短期PX受原油价格波动影响较大。策略:估值偏低,空单止盈;关注反弹布空机会。

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