渗透率达五成,新能源车将进入S型曲线“短暂衰退期”?

股市动态分析
Oct 02

本文首发于9月27日第9期杂志根据乘用车市场信息联席会CPCA统计,中国8月乘用车销量为199.5万辆,其中新能源车(NEV)销量为110.1万辆,渗透率已达55.2%!新能源车中,纯电动车(BEV)销量约66万辆,插电混合动力车(PHEV)销量约44万辆。如此看来,纯电动车销量都已经占据三分之一的份额。著名S型曲线理论认为,当一个新兴行业或者新技术渗透率达到50%前后,便会出现“短暂衰退”局面,...

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