汇丰:金价料将于明年上半年见顶 峰值指向4400美元

环球市场播报
Oct 29

  黄金虽在本周初承压下行,但汇丰银行认为这只是贵金属的短暂回调。该机构预计金价涨势将延续至新一年,并在2026年上半年达到峰值。

  汇丰指出,推动涨势的关键因素包括避险资金流入、财政赤字扩大、美联储独立性面临新威胁以及美国整体财政稳定性承压。此外,该行认为ETF和实物黄金账户的强劲资金流入也将持续支撑金价。不过展望年末时段,汇丰表示,若美联储降息幅度低于预期,可能放缓金价涨势,但美元整体疲软态势应能支撑贵金属价格直至2026年初。

  该行预计,今年剩余时间金价将在3700至4050美元区间波动,年底目标价为3950美元。明年金价预计将在3600至4400美元区间波动,2026年上半年将迎来峰值并突破4400美元关口。该行对2026年底金价的预测为3800美元。

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