高盛:看好中国股市迈入增长周期 预计A、H股至2027年底取得约30%潜在回报

智通财经
Nov 03

智通财经APP获悉,高盛中国股票策略分析师付思表示,中国股市正在迈入新的增长周期。人工智能(AI)、“反内卷”趋势以及中国企业出海三大因素,将成为未来推动中资企业盈利增长的主要动力。

高盛预计,在2027年底前,A股与H股指数有望取得约30%的潜在回报。这一预测基于12%的年复合盈利增长率,以及5%至10%的市盈率(PE)扩张空间。

今年以来,中资科技股显著上涨,尤其是与AI相关的板块表现突出。付思指出,此轮上涨主要来自市场对未来预期的改善,以及情绪带动下估值的上升。目前科技板块整体估值仍具有吸引力,但她强调,明年市场关注点可能将从情绪与预期转向企业基本面表现,估值能否进一步上升将取决于盈利的实际兑现。

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