招商证券:维持中国财险(02328)“强烈推荐”评级 资负共振驱动利润高增

智通财经
Nov 04, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,招商证券发布研报称,中国财险(02328)2025Q3资负共振驱动利润高增,展望全年,随着汽车市场整体销量持续增长,公司车险保费有望稳健增长,车险COR有望控制在96%以内;非车险“报行合一”全面落地,利好合规经营、风险管理和服务能力突出的头部险企。公司作为财险行业龙头,竞争优势有望持续凸显,且ROE稳定股息率高,具备长期投资价值。当前公司估值对应1.36xPB,维持“强烈推荐”评级。

报告引述公司2025年三季报,实现净利润402.68亿,同比+50.5%,Q3单季同比+91.5%;综合成本率96.1%,同比-2.1pt,未年化总投资收益率5.4%,同比+0.8pt。前三季度公司实现净利润402.68亿,同比+50.5%(此前预增公告增速为40%-60%),Q3单季同比+91.5%。从承保端来看,前三季度原保费4431.82亿,同比+3.5%;综合成本率96.1%,同比-2.1pt,主要是公司持续加强费用精细化管理,提升经营质效,承保利润148.65亿,同比+130.7%。从投资端来看,前三季度公司未年化总投资收益率为5.4%,同比+0.8pt;总投资收益359.00亿,同比+33.0%,主因资本市场上涨以及公司配置结构优化,适度增配优质权益资产。

此外,公司坚持车险业务内涵式发展、商业非车险创新发展、政策性业务高质量发展,前三季度车险保险服务收入2276.32亿,同比+3.7%;综合成本率94.8%,同比-2.0pt;实现承保利润117.29亿。非车险保险服务收入1582.89亿,同比+9.3%;综合成本率98.0%,同比-2.5pt;承保利润31.36亿。

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