港股异动 | 钢铁股午后快速拉升 三季度钢铁行业盈利改善 机构看好明年反内卷落地+铁矿宽松

智通财经
Nov 11, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,钢铁股午后快速拉升,截至发稿,马鞍山钢铁股份(00323)涨5.38%,报2.74港元;重庆钢铁股份(01053)涨2.88%,报1.43港元;鞍钢股份(00347)涨1.83%,报2.22港元。

消息面上,三季度钢铁行业盈利改善。从Mysteel统计的数据看,钢厂盈利率从6月底的59%上行至8月底的64%,9月钢价涨幅不及焦炭涨幅,钢厂盈利率转为下行,三季度钢厂盈利率平均62%,相比二季度抬升4.5个百分点。根据长江证券跟踪的重点钢铁行业上市公司测算,2025年Q3吨净利92元,环比+14元/吨,处于2021年来的68%分位数。

长江证券发布研报称,展望2026年,铁矿让利的空间远大于焦煤,26年西芒杜投产放量或提供契机。此外,三季度对反内卷的交易或更多停留在预期层面,从高频铁水上看,钢企减产的意愿并不充足。看好2026年在行业分级管理和差异化限产的安排下,行业供给侧收缩的逻辑有望获得持续性的兑现。

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