大摩:上调至苹果目标价315美元,列入2026年科技硬件类股首选之一

格隆汇
Yesterday

12月18日,摩根士丹利发表报告,将苹果的目标价由305美元上调至315美元,看好其在2026年具备可观的成长机会,列入2026年科技硬件类股首选之一。

人工智能与云端相关支出方面,该行认为,即便基础设施价格存在上行风险,苹果在云端需求上仍可维持相对稳定。不过,随着存储器(RAM)成本大幅上扬,物料成本(BOM)压力恐成为产业共同挑战。该行也指出,目前并未将人工智能视为苹果短期内的主要变现引擎。尽管相关布局方向正面,但尚未看到明确的产品或服务营收爆发点。

产品动能方面,大摩看好iPhone 17周期的表现,指出该系列受惠于延长至五年的换机周期,加上核心功能升级,以及电信商补贴与旧机换新方案改善,有助支撑销量表现。展望2027年,该行预期,苹果在2026会计年度结束时,市面上仍将约有5.5亿台iPhone无法升级至 Apple Intelligence,随着新版Siri与第三方大型语言模型支援逐步到位,后续升级需求可望延续。

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