富国银行下调标普500年底目标价 但长期仍看涨

格隆汇
Yesterday

富国银行分析师Ohsung Kwon将标普500指数的年底目标价从7800点下调至7300点,并称伊朗战争是主要风险,而这并非该行在2026年基本预期的一部分。尽管该行下调了目标价,但Kwon仍强调对市场整体走向充满信心,并表示:“我们仍然对市场结构性看涨。” Kwon指出,“我们认为股市已经消化了很多信息。然而,除了明确的解决方案之外,我们看不到太多上涨的催化剂,而且我们认为目前的形势对股市更为不利。”此外,随着本周将公布大量经济数据,Kwon将当前的宏观经济形势描述为“双输”局面。他指出,强劲的经济数据意味着美联储降息的可能性降低,而疲软的数据则会加剧滞胀担忧,并给投资者更多抛售的理由。Kwon还指出下半年的通胀是一个关键风险,富国银行基于库存的模型显示,相对于当前水平,价格将面临上涨压力。

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