Option Focus | Coherent’s Bullish Call Flow Targets $300 by December 2026 as Institutions Bet on Major Upside Despite Neutral IV Percentile

Option Witch
9小时前

Coherent closed at $232.08, down 1.04%, after swinging between $210.00 and $240.99 intraday.

Large options trades in Coherent showed a decisively bullish tilt, led by a $696,000 call purchase targeting the $300.00 strike expiring in December 2026. The overall call/put volume ratio reached 2.52, underscoring upside demand, while no notable bearish large-trade activity offset the flow. This concentration in longer-dated call buying reflects conviction among larger participants rather than a short-term reaction to the session’s price decline.

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Options Indicators

Coherent’s implied volatility is 86.32%, while its IV percentile stands at 52.59%, which places current volatility in a neutral range rather than an extreme high or low regime. In other words, although the absolute IV level is high, relative to its own historical range the stock’s options are not especially cheap or expensive at the moment. The IV/HV ratio of 0.68 further suggests implied volatility is running below realized volatility, indicating the market is not assigning an aggressive premium to current option pricing.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.52.

Large Trades

A CALL buy worth $696,000 targeted the December 18, 2026 $300.00 strike, with 1,200 contracts purchased in a clearly bullish single-leg position. With COHR referenced at $232.08, the option was out of the money at the time of the trade, indicating the buyer was positioning for meaningful upside over a longer-dated horizon rather than seeking immediate intrinsic value. The trade’s structure suggests a directional upside bet, likely reflecting expectations for a substantial advance in the stock before expiration.

Overall, the large-trade flow in COHR was clearly bullish. The activity was entirely concentrated in upside call buying, with no meaningful bearish large-trade presence to offset it, which points to constructive sentiment and a willingness among larger participants to pay premium for future upside exposure. This pattern typically reflects confidence in a favorable medium- to long-term move higher rather than a defensive or hedging posture.

Strategy Reference

For a lower assignment probability, a covered call seller may consider the December 2026 $300.00 strike, where the bullish flow suggests strong resistance but also demand for upside; alternatively, a bull call spread using the $260.00/$300.00 strikes limits margin while participating in a sustained move.

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