美股详情

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FOMO CORP.

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总览公司新闻公告

美国“小非农”数据发布后美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为93%

Matrixport：目前ETF卖压似乎已暂停，对冲基金可能在3月下旬重新评估套利机会

Matrixport：比特币ETF 2月资金流出规模创纪录，目前ETF卖压或已停止

陶冬：海湖庄园协议“打劫”全世界

【本周重要事件与数据预告：全国人大新闻发布会、鲍威尔+非农、欧洲央行议息】1. 周一：①数据：中国2月财新制造业PMI；

下周重要宏观事件预告：特朗普将主持白宫加密货币峰会

下周宏观展望：美国2月非农就业数据将于周五公布，美联储降息押注加大

PCE公布后美联储3月降息25基点概率小幅升至5.5%

Matrixport：对冲基金解除套利仓位造成近期下跌，至少25%ETF资金与套利相关

Matrixport：对冲基金解除套利仓位造成近期下跌，至少25% ETF资金与套利相关

Matrixport：对冲基金解除套利仓位造成近期下跌，至少25% ETF资金与套利相关

美联储鹰派：利率未具显著限制性，股市估值高

【美联储鹰派：利率未具显著限制性股市估值高】美联储鹰派官员、克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克表示，利率尚未具有显著限制性，应在一段时间内保持稳定。或者，换句话说，我们可能接近中性环境。长期来看，美国经济具有弹性，并将适应更高的利率环境，鉴于广泛的金融环境保持宽松，股市估值高企，其中股票风险溢价接近于零。她的言论与美联储主席鲍威尔上个月的言论相冲突。他曾表示，在去年的降息后，利率仍然具有实质限制性。哈玛克还表示，耐心的做法将使我们有时间监测劳动力市场和通胀轨迹，以及在当前利率环境下整体经济的表现。重要的是要监测通胀预期和其他指标，以评估金融状况是否符合美联储抗通胀的努力。在其发言后，美股扩大了跌势，尾盘纳指跌超2.3%。哈玛克是明年FOMC票委。

美联储鹰派：利率未具显著限制性股市估值高

凯投宏观：美债涨势将失去动力

下周重要宏观事件与数据：美联储官员密集讲话，PCE、英伟达财报公布

下周重要宏观事件与数据：美联储官员密集讲话，PCE、英伟达财报公布

美联储纪要表明FOMC与明年利率市场预期之间存在脱节

【美联储会议纪要：美联储官员们担心特朗普关税对美国通胀的影响，认为暂时不宜降息】美联储会议纪要称，如果美国经济表现强劲，FOMC就能维持限制性的政策水平。“少数几名”官员称，联邦基金利率可能较中性利率高不了多少。希望在调整利率前看到进一步取得通胀进展。可能需要暂停、放慢量化紧缩（QT）过程，直至美国国会山处置好债务上限问题。不确定性偏高，这保障美联储采取谨慎的货币政策路线。预计通胀将朝着2%这一目标靠拢，但这个过程不会一帆风顺。美国总统特朗普的贸易政策主张和移民政策可能会破坏（最近一轮加息周期中取得的）通胀进展。

【现货黄金周三创历史新高，美联储会议纪要发布后一度转涨】周三纽约尾盘，现货黄金跌0.10%，报2933.06美元/盎司，日内交投区间为2947.01-2918.67美元，北京时间18:06创历史新高，03:00美联储会议纪要发布前不久刷新日低，会议纪要谈及FOMC暂停QT可能性之后不断回升。COMEX黄金期货持平，报2949.00美元/盎司，一度在17:19逼近2月11日所创历史最高位2968.50美元，02:26也刷新日低，会议纪要发布后不久转涨。

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21:59","pubTimestamp":1740751183,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Odaily星球日报讯 PCE 公布后，据芝商所 FedWatch 数据显示，美联储 3 月降息 25 基点概率小幅升至 5.5%（此前为 4.5%），目前距离下一次 FOMC 会议还有约 19 天。","market":"us","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.odaily.news/newsflash/421194?source=share","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"odaily_live","symbols":["US5Y.BOND","BK4588","BK4550","SPY","BK4504","BK4559","FOMC","SSO","US7Y.BOND","US10Y.BOND","US12M.BOND","SH","BK4534","US2Y.BOND","SDS",".SPX","ESmain","IVV","HK0000934320.USD","US6M.BOND","OEF","BK4077","OEX","SPXU","BK4585","US30Y.BOND","UPRO","BK4581","US3Y.BOND"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2514643345","title":"Matrixport：对冲基金解除套利仓位造成近期下跌，至少25%ETF资金与套利相关","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2514643345","media":"Odaily","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2514643345?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-02-28 17:32","pubTimestamp":1740735123,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Odaily星球日报讯 Matrixport 发布每日分析报告表示，比特币 ETF 取得了巨大的成功，在十四个月内吸引了 390 亿美元的资金流入。然而随着华尔街完全接纳比特币，它受到了全球流动性、宏观经济条件、央行政策以及机构资本流动的日益影响。\n美元走强导致这一流动性指标下降，这表明比特币价格可能承受下行压力。全球流动性在 2024 年 12 月底达到了顶峰，美元的大幅走强为比特币的持续回调提供了清晰的解释。\n展望未来，这一时间序列的前瞻性特征表明，一旦此次回调结束（可能会持续到三月或四月），比特币可能会尝试回升至此前的高点。分析宏观经济趋势和央行政策使我们在预测比特币价格走势方面具有明显优势。尤其是随着华尔街投资者开始日常关注这些宏观因素并积极参与比特币交易，这种分析变得尤为重要。\n进入比特币市场的华尔街投资者分为两类。一类是财富和资产管理者，他们视比特币为数字黄金和长期投资。这类投资者很可能代表了持有 100-1000 枚比特币的钱包群体，这群人已经成为最大的比特币持有者，超过了曾经占主导地位的鲸鱼钱包。\n第二类进入比特币市场的华尔街投资者是对冲基金，他们通过套利策略关注非方向性收益，而非押注比特币价格的长期上涨。\n当加密交易者看涨时，他们通常会利用期货仓位推高资金费率。这为对冲基金提供了套利机会，他们在卖空比特币期货的同时购买比特币现货或比特币 ETF，从而通过资金费率差赚取收益。\n这些对冲基金共持有 100 亿美元的比特币 ETF，而总资金流入已达到 390 亿美元，这表明至少 25%的比特币 ETF 资金与套利交易相关。\n根据计算 55%或更多的 ETF 资金流入可能来源于关注套利的对冲基金，而非真正相信比特币长期上涨潜力的投资者。自 12 月 FOMC 会议以来，收益机会大幅下降，随之而来的是交易量的下降，因此对冲基金开始解除套利仓位并不令人意外。这一趋势通过比特币 ETF 创纪录的资金流出表现出来，这些基金退出了那些不再盈利的交易。","market":"us","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.odaily.news/newsflash/421149?source=share","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"odaily_live","symbols":["BK1611","BK4077","US30Y.BOND","518880","US7Y.BOND","BTC.USD.CC","83042","BK4585","BK4601","FDN","FOMC","03042","DUST","BTC.USD.HKCC","US6M.BOND","GLD","159831","BK1542","09008","03008","BK1583","BK1229","SGCmain","NUGT","MGCmain","GCmain","BK4588","159934","US12M.BOND","US2Y.BOND","GDX","09042","SGUmain","US3Y.BOND","US10Y.BOND","BK4594","BK1258","MSTU","BK4550","09983","IAU","09439","US5Y.BOND","IBIT","03439"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2514434657","title":"Matrixport：对冲基金解除套利仓位造成近期下跌，至少25% ETF资金与套利相关","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2514434657","media":"世链财经","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2514434657?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-02-28 17:24","pubTimestamp":1740734640,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"2 月 28 日，Matrixport 发布每日分析报告称，比特币 ETF 取得了巨大的成功，在十四个月内吸引了 390 亿美元的资金流入。然而随着华尔街完全接纳比特币，它受到了全球流动性、宏观经济条件、央行政策以及机构资本流动的日益影响。美元走强导致这一流动性指标下降，这表明比特币价格可能承受下行","market":"hk","thumbnail":"https://m.shilian.com/assets/addons/cms/img/noimage/162.jpg","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":["https://m.shilian.com/assets/addons/cms/img/noimage/162.jpg"],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://m.shilian.com//kuaixun/786503.html","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"shilian_live","symbols":["BK4594","BK1258","159934","09983","SGUmain","09439","NUGT","SGCmain","518880","US6M.BOND","GLD","BK1611","US7Y.BOND","BK4585","GDX","IAU","MSTU","US30Y.BOND","BK1583","BK4077","03042","159831","83042","US3Y.BOND","FOMC","BTC.USD.CC","MGCmain","US2Y.BOND","BK1229","BK1542","IBIT","BK4588","US10Y.BOND","09008","09042","DUST","BK4550","US12M.BOND","GCmain","US5Y.BOND","BTC.USD.HKCC","BK4601","03439","03008","FDN"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2514458103","title":"Matrixport：对冲基金解除套利仓位造成近期下跌，至少25% ETF资金与套利相关","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2514458103","media":"Blockbeats","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2514458103?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-02-28 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06:32","pubTimestamp":1740695575,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Odaily星球日报讯 金色财经报道，美联储鹰派官员、克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克表示，利率尚未具有显著限制性，应在一段时间内保持稳定。或者，换句话说，我们可能接近中性环境。长期来看，美国经济具有弹性，并将适应更高的利率环境，鉴于广泛的金融环境保持宽松，股市估值高企，其中股票风险溢价接近于零。她的言论与美联储主席鲍威尔上个月的言论相冲突。他曾表示，在去年的降息后，利率仍然具有实质限制性。哈玛克还表示，耐心的做法将使我们有时间监测劳动力市场和通胀轨迹，以及在当前利率环境下整体经济的表现。重要的是要监测通胀预期和其他指标，以评估金融状况是否符合美联储抗通胀的努力。在其发言后，美股扩大了跌势，尾盘纳指跌超 2.3%。哈玛克是明年 FOMC 票委。","market":"us","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://www.odaily.news/newsflash/421076?source=share","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"odaily_live","symbols":["BK4504","SPY","US2Y.BOND","ZTmain","SH","TNmain","US5Y.BOND","HK0000934320.USD","ZBmain","159659","BK4581","OEF","USAW.SI","BK4585","NQmain","TSYW.SI",".SPX","USJW.SI","03086","US7Y.BOND","SPXU","US30Y.BOND","159940","PSQ","US3Y.BOND","US10Y.BOND","UPRO","BK4561","ZFmain","ZNmain","OEX","QID","US6M.BOND","BK4534","TQQQ","QQQ","IVV","BK4593","QLD","ESmain","SDS","SQQQ","US12M.BOND","NVIW.SI","BK1147","SSO",".IXIC","MNQmain","FOMC","UBmain"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2514534337","title":"【美联储鹰派：利率未具显著限制性 股市估值高】美联储鹰派官员、克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克表示，利率尚未具有显著限制性，应在一段时间内保持稳定。或者，换句话说，我们可能接近中性环境。长期来看，美国经济具有弹性，并将适应更高的利率环境，鉴于广泛的金融环境保持宽松，股市估值高企，其中股票风险溢价接近于零。她的言论与美联储主席鲍威尔上个月的言论相冲突。他曾表示，在去年的降息后，利率仍然具有实质限制性。哈玛克还表示，耐心的做法将使我们有时间监测劳动力市场和通胀轨迹，以及在当前利率环境下整体经济的表现。重要的是要监测通胀预期和其他指标，以评估金融状况是否符合美联储抗通胀的努力。在其发言后，美股扩大了跌势，尾盘纳指跌超2.3%。哈玛克是明年FOMC票委。","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2514534337","media":"金融界","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2514534337?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-02-28 04:42","pubTimestamp":1740688951,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"美联储鹰派官员、克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克表示，利率尚未具有显著限制性，应在一段时间内保持稳定。或者，换句话说，我们可能接近中性环境。长期来看，美国经济具有弹性，并将适应更高的利率环境，鉴于广泛的金融环境保持宽松，股市估值高企，其中股票风险溢价接近于零。她的言论与美联储主席鲍威尔上个月的言论相冲突。他曾表示，在去年的降息后，利率仍然具有实质限制性。哈玛克还表示，耐心的做法将使我们有时间监测劳动力市场和通胀轨迹，以及在当前利率环境下整体经济的表现。重要的是要监测通胀预期和其他指标，以评估金融状况是否符合美联储抗通胀的努力。在其发言后，美股扩大了跌势，尾盘纳指跌超2.3%。哈玛克是明年FOMC票委。","market":"us","thumbnail":"","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/02/28044248442242.shtml","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"jinrongjie_stock","symbols":["03086","USAW.SI","BK4534","IVV","US3Y.BOND","TSYW.SI","OEX","MNQmain","QID","BK4077","US30Y.BOND","BK4585","BK4581","PSQ","BK4504","BK1147","UPRO","BK4593","QQQ","159659","TQQQ","US10Y.BOND",".SPX","BK4561","NVIW.SI","SH","OEF","US12M.BOND","BK4550","BK4588","US7Y.BOND","SQQQ","159940","SPXU","SPY","FOMC","US2Y.BOND","NQmain",".IXIC","US5Y.BOND","BK4559","ESmain","SDS","USJW.SI","SSO","US6M.BOND","QLD"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2514332060","title":"美联储鹰派：利率未具显著限制性 股市估值高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2514332060","media":"美港电讯","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2514332060?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-02-28 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14:33","pubTimestamp":1740292380,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"2 月 23 日，下周，多位美联储重要官员将发表讲话，具体如下：周二 17:20，2026 年 FOMC 票委、达拉斯联储主席洛根发表讲话；周三 00:45，美联储理事巴尔发表讲话；周四，2025 年 FOMC 票委、堪萨斯联储主席施密德就经济问题发表讲话；周五 02:15，2026 年 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11:08","pubTimestamp":1740020919,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"在2025年的第一次会议之后，美联储维持利率不变，同时降低了进一步降息的力度和紧迫性。美联储1月会议纪要称：“在考虑联邦基金利率的预期路径时，基金经理指出，期权价格隐含的模式政策利率路径在会议间隔期间没有明显变化，并且与2025年联邦基金利率目标区间下调0.25个百分点大致一致。”会议纪要还显示，美联储坚持要等待通胀方面出现更多的改善，然后再考虑进一步降息。","market":"us","thumbnail":"","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"zh","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2025/02/20110848273991.shtml","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":"jinrongjie_highlight","symbols":["US5Y.BOND","US6M.BOND","SSO","IVV","BK4581","US3Y.BOND","US2Y.BOND","ESmain","SPXU","UPRO","US7Y.BOND","US10Y.BOND","BK4550","FOMC","US12M.BOND","BK4588",".SPX","US30Y.BOND","SDS","BK4585","OEF","BK4077","BK4534","BK4559","BK4504","OEX","SPY","SH"],"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2512145397","title":"【美联储会议纪要：美联储官员们担心特朗普关税对美国通胀的影响，认为暂时不宜降息】美联储会议纪要称，如果美国经济表现强劲，FOMC就能维持限制性的政策水平。“少数几名”官员称，联邦基金利率可能较中性利率高不了多少。希望在调整利率前看到进一步取得通胀进展。可能需要暂停、放慢量化紧缩（QT）过程，直至美国国会山处置好债务上限问题。不确定性偏高，这保障美联储采取谨慎的货币政策路线。预计通胀将朝着2%这一目标靠拢，但这个过程不会一帆风顺。美国总统特朗普的贸易政策主张和移民政策可能会破坏（最近一轮加息周期中取得的）通胀进展。","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2512145397","media":"金融界","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2512145397?lang=zh_cn&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-02-20 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