美股詳情

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【上海航交所：出口集裝箱運輸市場繼續向好，多數航線運價上漲】5月24日，上海航運交易所發佈的中國出口集裝箱運輸市場周度報告顯示，本週，中國出口集裝箱運輸市場繼續呈現向好局面，多數遠洋航線市場運價保持漲勢，帶動綜合指數上行。據國家統計局最新公佈的數據顯示，4月份規模以上工業增加值同比增長6.1%，顯示出中國經濟具備較強的韌性，繼續保持平穩增長。5月23日，上海航運交易所發佈的上海出口集裝箱綜合運價指數為1586.12點，較上期上漲7.2%。北美航線運輸需求處於高位，總體運力規模仍未完全恢復，市場運價繼續上行。5月23日，上海港出口至美西和美東基本港市場運價分別為3275美元/FEU和4284美元/FEU，分別較上期上漲6.0%、5.3%。

若有現貨報價下調情況發生，易對集運歐線形成利空情緒擾動

馬士基實際開艙價低於市場預期，但集運歐線下行空間相對有限？

美線集運運價漲近100%！集運歐線上方仍有空間？

近月合約漲停！集運指數（歐線）期貨多單止盈還是持有？

不確定性因素較多集運指數或延續震盪

上海航交所：本週中國出口集裝箱運輸市場基本平穩

集運歐線：短期內美方政策不斷反覆，建議觀望為主

5月中旬前漲價計劃提前宣告失敗，集運歐線中期仍看空

部分航司開啓漲價動作強化市場運價反彈預期

利空因素較多集運指數大幅回調

預計集運指數近期行情波動加大，單邊趨勢性行情暫需等待

馬士基下調第12周歐線運價，對集運歐線短期情緒形成利空影響

關注船司開啓新一輪價格戰風險，運價或有進一步下破風險

3月初攬貨壓力下本週或會出現調降3月運價的情況

【光大期貨：船司提漲3月運價，歐線延續上行態勢】光大期貨：週一，歐線遠月合約繼續帶動近月合約上漲，主力04合約漲超12%。消息層面來看，近期美國總統計劃將貿易戰擴大至歐盟國家，或在一定程度上增加市場對中歐關係改善的預期，疊加“接管”加沙的言論導致紅海復航預期降温，進一步推升了短期搶運需求，料短期歐線或繼續維持強勢。從現貨角度來看，儘管春節期間現貨運價持續回落，但期貨市場更多反映遠期預期。2025年歐線長協價已鎖定在2500-3200美元/FEU，遠高於2023年水平，表明船公司對全年運價信心較高。隨着赫伯羅特從3月1日起提漲至2500/4100，較1800/3000上漲700/1100，在當下基本面淡季，盤面價格的主導因素或有望實現從弱現實到強預期的轉變。在地緣局勢緊張化的背景下，歐線合約間的contango結構或得到延續。

紅海危機結束了？如何影響航運價格？船公司為何仍然避走？

地緣風險預期發生變化，集運歐線短期超預期反彈！

停火談判的推進使得年內復航成為可能，但集運歐線上半年合約受地緣消息進展的影響相對較小

停火協議的達成再生波瀾，集運歐線期貨強勢上漲

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