美联储首选通胀指标降温至3.7%

投资观察
Jul 30

美联储青睐的PCE通胀指标在6月有所降温,但依然远高于该央行设定的2%目标水平。这一挑战加剧了华尔街的焦虑情绪——市场担忧在新任主席凯文·沃什的领导下,美联储将如何应对持续高企的价格压力。

美国商务部今日公布的数据显示,个人消费支出价格指数上月环比下降0.1%,能源价格走低是压低整体物价水平的关键因素。

由此计算,过去12个月的PCE通胀率降至3.7%,低于5月的4.1%。

若剔除波动较大的食品和能源类别,6月核心PCE价格指数环比微升0.1%,推动12个月核心通胀率降至3.3%,较5月的3.4%略有缓和。

PCE通胀数据通常不会单独引发市场剧烈波动。华尔街交易员能够相当精准地预判这一读数,因为该指数在很大程度上借鉴了劳工部月初发布的通胀数据。然而,作为美联储衡量通胀的主要风向标,PCE指标始终是交易员猜测央行下一步行动的核心依据。

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