铜业股盘初集体上涨 江西铜业股份(00358)涨逾7% 机构指铜价震荡偏强

金吾财讯
Aug 26

金吾财讯 | 港股铜业股盘初集体上涨,截至发稿,江西铜业股份(00358)涨7.05%,中国有色矿业(01258)涨6.07%,五矿资源(01208)涨3.96%,紫金矿业(02899)涨3.08%,洛阳钼业(03993)涨2.97%,万国黄金集团(03939)涨1.82%,中国黄金国际(02099)涨1.58%。消息面上,法兴银行新近研究指,2025年2月至2026年8月,COMEX铜和LME铜分别上涨52%和58%,仅次于黄金、白银及石油产品,成为同期表现最强的大宗商品之一。AI投资最终会转化为数据中心、电网和电气化带来的实体用铜需求,LME铜是表达“AI驱动铜需求”更纯粹的标的,COMEX则更受美国宏观与金融市场影响。五矿证券表示,需求端,AI对铜价的影响,更多体现为“AI时代新石油”这一战略定位带来的价值重估与预期溢价,其对实际消费的拉动尚在早期。铜的物理特性、成本经济性和现有技术生态共同决定了它在AI领域应用的结构性优势。中长期来说,AI领域确实有成长为结构性需求增量的潜力,预计2025年-2030年全球算力新增用铜量复合增速为21%。该机构认为,矿端紧缺持续深化,TC屡创历史新低,国内库存降至低位,铜价震荡偏强。

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