Bitget CFD 首席分析师:Jackson Hole 前夕,市场焦点转向通胀、长期国债收益率与政策框架

链捕手
Aug 27

ChainCatcher 消息,Bitget CFD 首席分析师 Lewis Huang 在直播中表示,本周美国 PCE 数据及 Jackson Hole 全球央行年会将成为市场焦点。市场不仅关注美联储是否调整利率,也将重点留意其如何应对通胀持续高于 2% 目标、长期国债收益率高企及财政压力等问题。

Lewis Huang 指出,若核心 PCE 高于预期,且美联储释放维持紧缩或强调抗通胀的信号,美债收益率与美元或获得支撑,黄金及 Nasdaq 100 等对利率敏感的资产可能承压。反之,若通胀数据降温、官员表态倾向保留政策弹性,市场或重新交易未来的宽松空间,利好黄金、非美货币及成长型股指。本次 PCE 数据基本符合预期,市场关注重点也随之转向 Jackson Hole 全球央行年会。

此外,中东局势及霍尔木兹海峡风险仍可能推升油价与通胀预期。交易者可重点观察美元指数、美国 2 年期和 10 年期国债收益率、黄金与原油的联动表现;重大数据公布后宜等待市场进一步确认方向,避免使用高杠杆追逐首波行情。

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