金吾财讯 | 铜业股走低，中国大冶有色金属（00661）跌5.70%，五矿资源（01208）跌4.24%，中国黄金国际（02099）跌4.15%，中国有色矿业（01258）跌3.49%，江西铜业股份（00358）跌2.96%。美联储主席凯文·沃什上周五发表鹰派讲话，叠加中东局势持续紧张，国际油价走高，铜价冲高回落。
东吴证券研报表示，供给端矿端长期处于防御性资本开支阶段，全球铜矿的干扰率处在历史相对高位，初步预估2026年铜矿供应增速1%。同时，国内废铜供应受政策影响而收紧，原料端有所损失。冶炼端面临历史极低TC/RCs水平，产能利用率或受限。
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