金吾财讯 | 铜业股延续升势，中国大冶有色金属（00661）涨6.11%，金浔资源（03636）涨4.33%，五矿资源（01208）涨1.46%，中国有色矿业（01258）涨1.28%，江西铜业股份（00358）涨0.84%。开源证券表示，供给端，海外多数矿企仍面临品位、回收率下降的问题，且干扰因素仍存在（艾芬豪KK铜矿、Codelco的ElTeniente铜矿），国内企业虽增量但整体有限，乐观假设下，2026-2027年全球供给增速或不足2%。需求端，上半年中美电力需求维持高增速，有望为铜需求贡献边际增量。我们认为2026年铜供需结构矛盾将进一步凸显，支撑铜价中枢上行。
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