摩根大通:电动车产业链面临利润重构 宁德时代短期受冲长远仍为赢家 降H股评级至“中性”

港股一线
Oct 21

  文/新浪财经香港站 王柳潞

  摩根大通发表研究报告,将宁德时代(3750.HK)H股评级下调至“中性”,同时维持其A股(300705.SZ)的“增持”评级,宁德时代A股亦是该行在覆盖电池股中唯一给予“增持”的企业。

  摩通表示,鉴于电动汽车产业链利润正经历更广泛的重新分配,行业盈利能力恶化的速度快于预期。

  随着电池消费税、出口退税率下调以及贸易壁垒增加,整车厂利润已然承压,宁德时代或最先受到冲击。但因其具备将成本转嫁或部分消化的能力,长远或能借此增强客户粘性并成为最终赢家。

  摩通指出,宁德时代H股较A股存有溢价,反映出在岸投资者对政策不确定性态度更为审慎,而全球基金则更倾向于押注其长期强劲的增长潜力。

  对比其他大行,高盛预期宁德时代第三季纯利按年升30%至240亿元人民币;瑞银则认为股份被过度沽售,静待匈牙利工厂扩产等催化剂。

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