短期扰动不改龙头韧性 机构看好宁德时代中长期配置价值

新浪证券
Oct 27

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  三季度宁德时代营收保持高增,盈利同比增长、环比回落。公司解释,业绩波动主要源于阶段性产品结构变化,以及消费税、出口退税政策调整影响,目前正与客户沟通分摊成本,并持续推进新技术、新产品落地。

  多家机构认为,公司本次盈利变动属于短期扰动,并非长期基本面走弱。长江证券指出,锂电行业需求结构日趋多元,欧洲动力、新兴市场动力、海外储能等业务持续高增,行业增长确定性充足,预计2030年锂电需求复合增速维持20%以上。短期排产波动主要为库存策略调整,后续随碳酸锂价格企稳、行业淡季数据验证有望改善。

  同时,税费退坡带来的压力整体可控。随着海外产品、系统级产品占比持续提升,税负影响将被持续稀释。中信证券也表示,通过与下游客户持续协商,税率调整带来的成本压力后续有望共同分摊,宁德时代中长期配置价值突出。

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