RBC:SK海力士将受益于拉长的存储上行周期2027年HBM价格有望翻倍

环球市场播报
Oct 27

  加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital)周日发布研报称,AI需求持续供不应求,高带宽存储器(HBM)涨价有望抬升平均售价,SK海力士将在本轮拉长的存储上行周期中持续获益。

  RBC预计SK海力士三季度业绩小幅高于市场一致预期,预测营收101.2万亿韩元,每份美国存托凭证调整后每股收益8917韩元(折合6.72美元)。

  涨价红利有望对冲汇率逆风;三季度DRAM合约价环比上涨20%,四季度或再涨15%。

  该行认为,当前DRAM上行周期已经走到第14个季度,还将再延续5个季度,供给紧张局面将持续至2027年。研报指出,2027年HBM价格有望上涨80%–100%,带动DRAM整体平均售价上行。

  分析师认为,凭借良率优势与落地执行能力,SK海力士将维持HBM领域龙头地位;在完成40万亿韩元回购计划后,充沛的自由现金流还可支撑新一轮股票回购或特别分红。预计公司管理层会重申对行业基本面的乐观判断。

  RBC重申该股跑赢大盘评级,目标价200美元。

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