大行评级|大摩:自首选股名单中剔除宁德时代A股,目标价降至335元

格隆汇
Oct 27
摩根士丹利发表研报指,宁德时代第三季收入同比增长59%,反映出货量及市场份额均表现强劲,惟产品组合波动超预期,导致盈利能力被高估。单位净利润环比减少约每千瓦时29元,大摩指当中已计及锂库存亏损、汇兑亏损、消费税、增值税退税减少、客户回扣及产品组合变化等因素,若加回一次性及可逆项目后,第三季单位净利润表现仍具韧性。 该行将今年净利预测下调6%至894亿元,2027年及2028年分别下调7%及10%,对长远前景仍乐观,认为除美国市场以外全球电气化可触及市场在未来五年或翻倍,钠电池产品周期开始落地,换电联盟进展良好,但预期宁德时代H股未来三个月可能仍然波动,H/A溢价或进一步收窄,因此将H股评级由“增持”降至“与大市同步”,目标价由705港元大削44.7%至390港元;A股目标价由500元大降33%至335元,并自首选股名单中剔除A股,惟维持“增持”评级。

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