内银股板块走强 招商银行(03968)涨3.51% 机构称信贷成本下行 净利差有望企稳回升

金吾财讯
Oct 30

金吾财讯 | 内银股板块走强,截至发稿,重庆农村商业银行(03618)涨4.39%,招商银行(03968)涨3.51%,郑州银行(06196)涨2.91%,贵州银行(06199)涨2.70%,中信银行(00998)涨2.28%,中银香港(02388)涨2.17%。消息面上,摩根士丹利鉴于净利差(NIM)回升较预期早、资产负债表增长适度、手续费收入增长稳健以及未来几年预期信贷成本降低,该行上调8只在港上市内银股目标价。摩根士丹利指出,尽管资产负债表扩张速度放缓,但去杠杆举措降低了中长期风险,并有助于信贷成本随时间推移逐步下降。此外,去杠杆促进了更可持续的金融体系建设,并支持贷款收益率和银行股本回报率(ROE)逐步回升,这两项指标目前仍低于支撑长期可持续发展的水平。这一点在宏观经济放缓背景下,贷款市场报价利率(LPR)及贷款收益率下限维持稳定中可见一斑,这些因素有助于稳定中国银行业的净利差。该行对贷款及金融资产收益率逐步回升充满信心,结合信贷成本逐步下降,将支撑主要银行利润增长温和回升。

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