Tiger Brokers

煤炭股普升 中煤能源（01898）涨3.19% 机构指冬季海运煤供需博弈或支撑四季度煤价

金吾财讯
Nov 04

金吾财讯 | 煤炭股普升，中煤能源（01898）涨3.19%，首钢资源（00639）涨2.40%，兖矿能源（01171）涨2.09%，中国神华（01088）涨1.90%，力量发展（01277）涨1.48%，中国秦发（00866）涨1.11%，兖煤澳大利亚（03668）涨0.83%。消息面上，长城证券表示，煤炭行情拐点右侧，积极布局煤炭股。催化剂之一：动力煤价格支撑偏强；催化剂之二：业绩同比提升；催化剂之三：美伊冲突核心矛盾难解，全球能源危机仍在；催化剂之四：科技&煤炭资金跷跷板；催化剂之五：煤炭上市公司发布股东增持公告和中期分红，均显示产业资本对煤炭价值的认可。华泰证券表示，10月24日印尼能矿部确认26年度RKAB（煤矿年度生产配额）核定配额增至7.2亿吨，同时拟将冶炼企业自备电厂用煤剔除DMO履约认定，有望缓解四季度印尼煤炭供给收缩风险。按最新7.2亿吨RKAB口径，印尼全年煤炭生产配额较年初6亿吨增加20%。该机构认为，此次调整体现政府在财政收入和供煤稳定之间寻求平衡，通过追加额度保障矿企正常生产和合同履约，降低年末集中减产风险。与此同时，欧洲天然气库存偏低且气价高位运行，或推动冬季气转煤并增加海运煤采购，印尼供给边际放松虽有助于缓解供给收缩，但冬季海运煤供需博弈或支撑四季度煤价。

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