CryptoQuant 分析师称比特币调整或尚未结束

链捕手
1 hour ago

ChainCatcher 消息,链上数据分析平台 CryptoQuant 认证分析师 CryptoZeno 发文称,比特币当前市场结构显示周期热度正在降温,但尚未出现历史上重大拐点附近常见的极端信号。比特币周期极值指数的 30 日均线已降至 15.8%,处于观察或轻度压力区间。

目前 BTC 价格较此前历史高点回撤约 46%,但该指数仍远低于代表活跃或极端阶段的水平。周期极值振荡指标也呈现谨慎信号,其 30 日均线接近历史区间底部,且明显低于 1.0 阈值。此前 2021 年初以及 2024 年至 2025 年的多个市场活跃阶段,该指标曾明显升高,目前尚未出现类似变化。CryptoZeno 表示,当前 BTC 更接近调整和低活跃度阶段,而非已确认的周期底部,指标读数较低并不意味着抛售压力已经耗尽,后续仍可能继续盘整,甚至出现新一轮下跌,需关注周期极值指数能否持续回升至活跃阶段,以及振荡指标能否同步恢复。

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