苹果概念股走低 鸿腾精密(06088)跌13.86% 野村料苹果供应商的情绪在短期内变得更为谨慎

金吾财讯
Nov 06

金吾财讯 | 苹果概念股走低,鸿腾精密(06088)跌13.86%,富智康集团(02038)跌6.55%,丘钛科技(01478)跌5.04%,天工国际(00826)跌4.58%,舜宇光学科技(02382)跌4.03%,伟仕佳杰(00856)跌4.00%,比亚迪电子(00285)跌3.62%,高伟电子(01415)跌3.60%,瑞声科技(02018)跌3.52%,通达集团(00698)跌1.57%。野村发表研究报告指,苹果9月底止第四财季业绩胜市场预期,但对苹果供应链持审慎看法,由于记忆体成本上升,预期苹果供应链在今年第四季至明年首季将面临更严峻的按年比较。野村预期明年上半年,供应商来自苹果的收入整体可能按年跌双位数,原因是今年上半年旧型号的预建库存、iPhone 18 Pro需求平淡,以及因记忆体成本上升而对需求保持谨慎。野村预期苹果供应商的情绪在未来数月将变得更为谨慎,直至该行于明年次季对明年下半年新款iPhone 19/20 Pro及Duo 2有更佳可见度为止。该行将2026年iPhone产量预测由2.6亿部下调2%至2.544亿部,意味按年增长5.6%,并引入2027财年iPhone产量预测为2.5亿部,意味按年跌1.7%。同时,该行下调MacBook今年产量预测至2,550万部,而iPad今年产量预测则由原先4,400万部降至4,000万部,并料明年进一步下滑。

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