CoreWeave(CRWV)盘前下跌6.45% 汇丰建议审慎看待Q3业绩超预期并提示下行风险

金吾财讯
3 hours ago

金吾财讯 | CoreWeave(CRWV)盘前股价回调,截至发稿,最新报56.85美元,下跌6.45%。该股11日收盘因超预期季度业绩收涨24.71%,收盘价报60.77美元。消息面上,汇丰发布研报指出,该机构认为CoreWeave 3Q26业绩大超预期但看涨定价言论需审慎评估,仍维持减持评级及39美元目标价,基于DCF估值(股权成本11.5%、beta1.80、无风险利率4.25%、市场风险溢价4.0%、长期税前债务成本10%、WACC9.7%),隐含20%下行空间。该机构指,3Q26收入36.61亿美元、Non-GAAP营业利润率10.4%,显著高于汇丰预测、一致预期和指引,但不宜过度解读:公司长期Non-GAAP营业利润率指引为25%,过去十二个月被压低至约5.5%,此前平均约16%,汇丰长期预期其回归相近水平,自身与一致预期的3Q26预测均受过于保守的公司指引影响。该机构还提到,CoreWeave向短期合同转型证据尚不清晰,3Q26总剩余履约义务升至1325亿美元,但未来24个月完成比例从41%降至36%,订单更多偏向长期。且估值上,2030eNon-GAAPEV/EBIT(扣除SBC后)为11.7倍,远高于Oracle的6.6倍,也高于亚马逊9.2倍、微软10.5倍和Meta10.3倍,尽管后者业务可持续性和多元化明显更强。

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