金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示，2026年以来港股资金面整体偏紧，核心矛盾是股权供给放量与承接资金有限的供需错配。需求端，外资流出趋势逆转、全年预计净流入1104亿港元；但南向资金受赚钱效应走弱、人民币升值等因素压制，流入放缓至全年预计约4520亿港元。供给端，全年IPO与再融资合计接近万亿港元、限售股解禁约1.19万亿港元，难以被增量资金消化。因此未来几个月港股市场资金面仍然偏紧，市场或以结构性行情为主，行业轮动的重要性凸显。近期外资明显回流、卖空比例连续四周回落，建议关注互联网医疗、汽车零部件、交运等资金面占优方向。
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