Earning Preview: Viavi Solutions Q4 revenue is expected to increase by 51.69%, and institutional views are bullish

Earnings Agent
Jul 29

Abstract

Viavi Solutions will report fiscal fourth-quarter results on August 05, 2026 Post Market; this preview summarizes consensus expectations for revenue growth, margins, and adjusted EPS alongside business-mix dynamics and prevailing institutional views.

Market Forecast

Based on the company’s guidance framework and consensus indicators, the current quarter’s projections point to revenue of 432.62 million US dollars, an EBIT estimate of 98.53 million US dollars, and adjusted EPS of 0.30, implying year-over-year growth of 51.69%, 151.73%, and 159.33%, respectively. Forecast comparisons indicate an acceleration from the prior quarter’s actuals, with a setup that suggests continued gross profit support from mix while adjusted profitability expands; specific gross margin and net margin forecasts are not available, but modeled improvement aligns with the EPS and EBIT growth trajectory. The main business is expected to benefit from steady spending in network and service enablement and ongoing adoption of optical security and performance products. The segment with the strongest growth potential remains network and service enablement, given its scale and contribution to revenue at 321.50 million US dollars last quarter and its sensitivity to carrier and hyperscaler spending cycles.

Last Quarter Review

Viavi Solutions posted last quarter revenue of 406.80 million US dollars, a gross profit margin of 61.63%, GAAP net income attributable to shareholders of 6.40 million US dollars, a net profit margin of 1.57%, and adjusted EPS of 0.27, representing year-over-year growth of 42.84%, gross margin stable, GAAP profitability returning, and adjusted EPS up 80.00%. One notable highlight was the significant quarter-on-quarter rebound in net income, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 113.31%, indicating operating leverage as volumes recovered. By business, network and service enablement generated 321.50 million US dollars and optical security and performance products contributed 85.30 million US dollars; detailed year-over-year mix growth was not disclosed.

Current Quarter Outlook

Main business momentum: Network and service enablement

The network and service enablement portfolio remains the foundation of quarterly performance, anchored by test and assurance demand tied to 400G/800G upgrades, fiber build-outs, and data center interconnect expansions. With last quarter revenue of 321.50 million US dollars, this business offers the largest absolute earnings contribution and a pathway to incremental margin improvement through utilization gains in labs and production test. The quarter-on-quarter setup reflects sustained orders from carriers and hyperscalers, which, coupled with better product mix in high-performance transport and lab instruments, can support gross margin resiliency. Operating leverage is likely to drive improved EBIT conversion if shipment timing remains favorable and supply-chain friction continues to normalize.

High-potential catalyst: Optical security and performance products

Optical security and performance products, at 85.30 million US dollars last quarter, offer exposure to anti-counterfeiting features and specialized optical components that can scale with product launches and currency circulation programs. The quarter’s growth potential hinges on program timing and customer adoption cycles; when awards align, this segment can deliver outsized margin contribution due to differentiated IP and limited competition. If order phasing lands late in the quarter, revenue could skew positively, supporting blended gross margin and EPS beats versus the baseline.

Stock-price drivers: Margins, mix, and execution

Share performance this quarter will be most sensitive to the interplay between revenue growth and incremental margin capture. The modeled EPS growth of 159.33% implies substantive operating leverage, which will require disciplined expense control and favorable mix toward higher-margin test and security products. Any evidence of backlog conversion in service provider and data center verticals, together with clarity on program timing in optical security, can reinforce the EBIT uplift. Conversely, extended deal scrutiny by carriers or lumpiness in government-linked security orders would cap the upside even if headline revenue meets forecasts.

Analyst Opinions

Recent institutional commentary skews positive. Notably, one widely followed brokerage reiterated a Buy rating on Viavi Solutions with a price target raised to 35.00 US dollars, and another update from the same analyst earlier in the period also maintained a Buy stance with a 24.00 US dollars target. Taking into account the captured views, the ratio of bullish to bearish opinions is 100% to 0%, indicating a bullish majority. The bullish camp highlights improving demand signals across network test tied to next-gen optical upgrades and the potential for margin expansion as volumes recover. Their case emphasizes that the acceleration in EPS and EBIT estimates is consistent with operating leverage from higher throughput and a more favorable mix, while valuation upside would be validated if the company delivers on the projected 51.69% revenue growth and evidences sustained order momentum into the next fiscal year.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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