尽管投资者殷切期待,应用软件公司AppLovin依然未能入选标普500指数。其同业公司Datadog与Trade Desk虽在7月相继入围,但AppLovin再度与这一重要指数失之交臂。
从相对强度分析,Datadog于7月9日的入选合乎逻辑——该股自4月初低点已实现翻倍上涨,并成功回补7月3日突破形成的15%缺口。然而Trade Desk在7月14日收盘后的入选则耐人寻味:尽管大盘表现强劲,该股仍承受下行压力,较去年12月高点下挫近半,在同行疾驰之际步履维艰。
AppLovin投资者不必因落选而悲观。该股过去一年累计涨幅仍超300%,技术图表显示其可能正处于新一轮突破前的蓄势阶段。近一月来,股价已构筑坚实基底,正形成双底带柄形态,关键枢轴点位于430美元下方。虽然技术指标仍需修复,落选阴影或短期萦绕,但只要股价稳守近期整理区间上方,看涨格局依然完整。若当前箱体下沿不破,持仓策略依然有效。
技术面甚至为新建仓位提供有力依据:股价仍坚守在352.10美元的前双底突破位上方(即3月25日盘中高点)。回踩突破位本是健康的技术调整,当前走势正为观望者创造二次入场契机。整数关口理论在此展现明显作用——2月受阻于500美元后,4月从200美元关口展开教科书式反弹。即便标普落选带来短期阵痛,技术结构仍具建设性。预计近期将挑战400美元关口,四季度有望重返500美元历史高位区域。
技术指标正描绘着超出现状的上升轨迹。
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