债券抛售潮再掀波澜:美联储内部分歧与潜在汇市干预推高美债收益率

投资观察
Jul 31

国债收益率近期持续攀升,延续了此前的上涨势头。这一波动的背后,是两位美联储官员公开解释了本周为何投下反对票,主张加息。当债券价格下跌时,收益率便随之上升;而周五,路透社的一则报道——称美国财政部可能干预外汇市场以支撑日元——更是加剧了这一上行压力。

根据Tradeweb的数据,10年期美国国债收益率在近期交易中一度触及4.737%,创下自2025年1月以来的盘中最高水平。此次债券市场所承受的压力,与周三的情况截然不同。当时,投资者因担心美联储主席凯文·沃什在通胀持续的情况下不愿加息,而纷纷抛售较长期国债。

在周三的市场景象中,短期国债收益率实际上出现了下跌,而长期收益率则急剧飙升。这反映了市场的一种忧虑:美联储或许会等到太迟才启动加息,届时将被迫激进地大幅调高利率。到了周五,情形逆转,各期限国债收益率全线走高,因为投资者正加大对近期加息的押注。

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