Option Focus | IREN’s $1.30 Million Deeply OTM Call Bet Targets 218% Upside by 2028, While Bullish Flow Dominates with Zero Bearish Trades

Option Witch
Aug 15

IREN Ltd closed at USD 44.06, down 1.56%.

IREN options lit up with a decisively bullish tilt as a massive $1.30 million bet on a deeply out-of-the-money call stole the spotlight. The flow was overwhelmingly positive, with total bullish premium hitting $2.13 million against zero bearish trades. This conviction, spanning from a near-the-money medium-term call to a long-dated 140 strike swing-for-the-fences play, signals strong institutional confidence in a significant upside re-rating.

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Options Indicators

IREN’s implied volatility is 102.19%, but its IV percentile is only 6.37%, which indicates that despite the headline IV looking very high in absolute terms, current option pricing sits near the low end of its own historical range. Combined with an IV/HV ratio of 0.69, this suggests implied volatility is running below realized volatility, and overall the options appear relatively cheap rather than richly priced. The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.60.

Large Trades

A CALL buy worth $1.30 million was the largest displayed trade, with 1,700 contracts purchased at the 140.0 strike expiring on 2028-01-21. With IREN referenced at $44.06, this call was deeply out-of-the-money, making it a high-conviction bullish directional bet that requires substantial upside over a long-dated horizon. The buyer appears to be targeting a major upside re-rating rather than near-term incremental gains, using long optionality to secure leveraged exposure while capping downside at the premium paid.

A CALL buy worth $0.80 million was the second highlighted trade, consisting of 1,563 contracts bought at the 45.0 strike expiring on 2026-09-18. With the stock at $44.06, this strike was only slightly out-of-the-money, which suggests a more achievable upside thesis than the far-dated 140 call while still expressing a clearly bullish view. Strategically, this looks like a directional upside position aimed at medium-term appreciation, with the buyer paying premium to participate in a breakout above the current trading level.

Overall sentiment in IREN large trades was decisively bullish, with total bullish flow at $2.13 million versus bearish flow at $0.00 million, leaving a net difference of $2.13 million to the bullish side. The directional read is clearly bullish, as the flow was dominated by call buying, including both an aggressive long-dated upside shot and a nearer-the-money medium-term call purchase, while even the smaller put sale also leaned constructive. Taken together, the large-trade profile points to traders positioning for upside rather than protection, reflecting confidence in continued share-price strength.

Strategy Reference

For a low assignment probability, a premium seller could consider the 25.00 put strike expiring in the near term, which lies far out-of-the-money given the current $44.06 price and the overwhelmingly bullish flow profile.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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