Movement Alert|Exxon Mobil Falls 3.03% in Regular Trading, Q2 EPS Misses Estimates Amid Middle East Production Risk

Market Focus
Jul 31

On July 31, Exxon Mobil fell 3.03% in regular trading, trading at $152.39/share, with turnover of $426 million. The decline came after the company reported Q2 earnings that missed analyst expectations on the bottom line, compounded by cautious forward guidance on Middle East production disruptions.

Exxon Mobil posted Q2 revenue of $116.02 billion, significantly beating estimates of approximately $103-110 billion, while adjusted EPS of $3.52 fell short of consensus estimates ranging from $3.54 to $3.60. The upstream segment earned $7.927 billion, up 46.7% year-over-year, and total production reached 4,514 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, well above the 4,227 thousand expected. Despite strong top-line performance driven by elevated oil prices amid the US-Iran conflict, Middle East disruptions have reduced year-to-date earnings by $1.8 billion.

The company warned that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed throughout Q3, Middle East production would decline approximately 750,000 barrels per day versus prior year levels. Additionally, two damaged LNG production lines in Qatar will remain offline even after the strait reopens, impacting roughly 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent. The CEO stated the company will not exit the Middle East but acknowledged uncertainty around the timeline for resuming normal operations.

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