Emerging Markets Display Resilience Comparable to Developed Economies, Goldman Sachs Reports

Deep News
Feb 17

Goldman Sachs has indicated that emerging market assets are demonstrating increased resilience to global shocks, a trend that could lead to a convergence of their bond yields with those of developed markets. Strategists Kamakshya Trivedi and Mambuna Njie noted in a report that investor perceptions regarding the risk level of emerging market assets now lag behind the actual situation. The performance of these assets during risk-off periods has become more aligned with that of developed market assets. In response to global disruptions, local currency interest rates in emerging markets are increasingly moving in tandem with developed markets, characterized by declining yields and looser financial conditions. This shift allows central banks to focus more on domestic growth and inflation dynamics without being pressured to raise interest rates. Additionally, supported by more substantial foreign exchange reserves and reduced external debt risks, the currencies of these nations are better equipped to withstand shocks without causing excessive volatility in local bond and equity markets. While the sensitivity of emerging markets to global shocks could increase again if investor positions become overly concentrated or if fundamentals deteriorate, such risks are not unique to emerging markets.

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