交易员小幅下调降息预期 美联储夏季前或仅有一次温和降息

投资观察
Feb 11

最新就业数据表现稳健后,交易员仍认为美联储在夏季前启动降息的可能性较高,但如今他们预计央行至多只会实施一次小幅降息。

根据芝加哥商品交易所集团数据,周三早间的利率期货合约显示,美联储在6月16-17日会议或之前降息25个基点的概率约为49%,与周二持平。然而,利率维持不变的概率从25%大幅攀升至40%,而多次降息的可能性则相应下降。

值得注意的是,6月政策会议或将迎来新任美联储主席。现任主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的任期将于五月中旬届满,美国总统特朗普已提名前美联储理事凯文·沃什接任主席职务,并公开表示预期沃什将推行降息政策。

(本文源自道琼斯通讯社实时报道,完整内容可通过检索代码P/WSJL获取相关直播信息)

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