港股异动 | 黄金股继续走软,灵宝黄金跌近5%!现货黄金失守3980美元,机构预计年底前将盘整震荡

老虎资讯综合
Nov 04

11月4日,黄金股盘中下跌,灵宝黄金跌近5%,集海资源跌超4%,紫金矿业中国白银集团跌超3%,赤峰黄金山东黄金中国黄金国际跌超2%,老铺黄金跌超1%。

消息面上,11月4日,现货黄金失守3980美元/盎司,日内跌0.53%。较10月20日高点回落逾9%。广发证券认为,本轮黄金的深度回调的主因在于:黄金隐含波动率处于高位,大幅上涨后获利了结需求或令资金流入趋势转弱;市场提前定价了过多地缘政治的不稳定性,但是中美关系和俄乌冲突在近期都有缓和趋势。

广发证券指出,黄金短期点位仍不低,且波动率较大,且地缘政治风险边际回落,若无超预期利多因素的刺激,预计伦敦金年底前将盘整震荡,明年一季度后再创新高。后续黄金继续上涨或将满足两个必要条件:(1)隐含波动率降至8-9月水平;(2)宏观层面上有新的驱动因素。

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