港股德翔海运(02510)今日盘中大跌9.54%,引发市场关注。该股下跌幅度超过同业,反映出投资者对航运业前景的担忧情绪加剧。
消息面上,美国前总统特朗普近日宣布,若再次当选将对所有贸易伙伴设立10%的"最低基准关税",并对中国、欧盟、日本等主要经济体征收更高关税。这一消息引发市场对全球贸易前景的担忧,直接影响到航运股的表现。德翔海运作为航运业的重要参与者,其股价对这一消息反应尤为敏感。
分析人士指出,当前航运业正面临复杂的经营环境。中信期货表示,在贸易战预期下,市场对远期贸易需求仍相对偏空。摩根大通也强调,潜在的贸易政策变化可能导致全球贸易格局重组。国信证券进一步指出,虽然近期美线运价有所上涨,但贸易风险实际仍在升级,欧洲经济前景不明朗,建议关注提价的持续性。中长期来看,行业供给格局可能进一步恶化,预计今年集运船东的盈利能力将面临压力。
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