February 6 Market Review: The Real Reason Behind Global Assets' Synchronized Decline - The Dollar is "Sucking Blood"

Deep News
Yesterday

Many investors have recently shared a common confusion: stocks are falling, gold is falling, silver is falling, crude oil is falling, and even commodities are pulling back. Is this still a normal market?

If you simply attribute all this to "panic sentiment," you may already be a step behind. The only real answer is that US dollar liquidity is undergoing a systematic contraction.

1. Why are "all assets falling together"? In a normal market, assets exhibit a "seesaw effect": - Stocks fall → Gold rises - Risk assets fall → Safe-haven assets rise - Commodities fall → Capital flows back to bonds

But now it's different. Now, all assets that require "liquidity" are falling. This is not a change in risk appetite, but rather the US dollar actively "withdrawing liquidity."

2. The dollar is not "strengthening," it is "sucking blood." Many people see the US dollar index strengthening and instinctively think: "The US economy is strong" or "The dollar is safe." But the reality is quite the opposite. A strengthening dollar often signifies three things: - US dollar funds are flowing back to the US. - The global supply of available US dollars is decreasing. - Overseas assets are forced to be "sold to obtain US dollars."

In other words, the dollar is not rewarding the strong; it is punishing all assets that depend on it.

3. Why can't even gold and silver hold up? This is the most debated point recently. "Isn't there inflation? Aren't they supposed to be safe havens? Why are gold and silver falling too?"

The answer is simple, but many are reluctant to admit it: during a liquidity tightening phase, gold is not a safe-haven asset, but a "liquidatable asset." When institutions need US dollars: - They can sell stocks. - They can sell commodities. - They must also sell gold and silver.

Especially for a metal like silver, which possesses both financial and industrial attributes, it becomes most susceptible to "stampede selling" once liquidity tightens.

4. This is not a short-term fluctuation, but a "shift in pricing logic." What you need to be wary of is not the "magnitude of the decline," but the fact that market logic is changing: - Past: Focus on trends, bet on direction, rely on courage. - Present: Compete on capital management, hedging, and the ability to use financial instruments.

Direction is no longer the only answer.

5. Why do many people feel that "nothing they do works"? It's likely because you are still applying a bull market mindset to the current environment: - Heavy, one-sided positions. - No protective stops. - Adding to positions based on emotion. - Mistaking luck for skill.

However, in a US dollar-dominated liquidity cycle, the market does not reward those who are "right on direction," but rather those who "survive long, have small drawdowns, and can hedge effectively."

6. Where are the real opportunities next? The opportunity lies not in "what to buy," but in "how to operate." In an environment of volatility and liquidity withdrawal: - Futures are not for betting on trends. - Options are not for "speculation." - They are for managing risk, constructing strategies, and increasing certainty.

This is also why more and more professional capital is: - Abandoning one-sided bets. - Turning to portfolio strategies. - Using structure to combat uncertainty.

Conclusion: What you perceive as a crash is actually a reshuffling. This round of market decline is not meant to make you panic and exit, but to weed out those "who don't know how to use financial tools." When liquidity is no longer free, the market only rewards professionalism and discipline.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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