Option Focus | Palantir’s Bullish Conviction Surges as Trader Pays $0.64 Million for Out-of-the-Money Calls Expiring 2026, Betting on Extended Upside

Option Witch
Jul 30

Palantir Technologies Inc. ended the latest session at $123.00, down 0.43%.

A notable surge in bullish conviction emerged from the options market as a trader committed $0.64 million to out-of-the-money calls expiring in 2026. This single, aggressive directional bet dominated the session’s large-trade flow, positioning for prolonged upside far beyond the current price level and signaling strong confidence in the stock’s long-term trajectory.

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Options Indicators

PLTR’s implied volatility is 74.75%, and with an IV percentile of 96.81%, current option volatility sits in a clearly elevated zone, indicating that options are priced expensively versus their own historical range. The IV/HV ratio of 1.35 further suggests implied volatility is running above realized volatility, meaning the options market is assigning a sizable premium to future price movement expectations. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.72.

Large Trades

A CALL buy worth $0.64 million stood out as the key large trade, with 1,281 contracts purchased at the 123.0 strike expiring on 2026-07-31. With the stock reference price also at 123.0, this contract was classified as out-of-the-money, making it a straightforward bullish directional bet with meaningful upside leverage. The buyer is effectively positioning for PLTR to rise above the strike and continue higher over the life of the option, suggesting a willingness to pay premium for upside exposure rather than pursuing income collection or downside protection.

Overall sentiment from the full large-trade flow was clearly bullish, with total bullish premium of $0.64 million versus bearish activity of $0.00 million, leaving a net difference of $0.64 million to the bullish side. That gives the large-trade picture a decisively positive tone, especially since the only notable block was an outright call purchase rather than a neutral or hedged structure. In short, the large-trade flow points to bullish directional conviction in PLTR.

Strategy Reference

For traders who share the bullish outlook but prefer a defined-risk approach, a bull call spread—such as buying the 2026-07-31 123.0 call and selling a higher strike like the 160.0 call—can reduce the net premium outlay and lower the breakeven point, while capping maximum profit if the stock stages a rally.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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