世界贸易组织最新报告指出，受伊朗冲突不确定性影响，能源、粮食及服务贸易承压，2026年全球贸易放缓幅度将超出先前预期。
该组织已将2026年全球贸易增速预测下调至1.9%，较上年4.6%的增幅显著收缩。世贸组织警告，若油气价格持续高企，增长率可能进一步萎缩0.5%。
报告强调，除原油和液化天然气价格飙升外，美以伊冲突正通过航运中断对粮食供应链和服务贸易形成双重挤压。尤为严峻的是，霍尔木兹海峡封锁已阻断全球农业命脉——化肥供应，这条水道通常承担着全球约三分之一化肥出口的运输任务。
（本文源自道琼斯通讯社实时报道，完整内容可查询代码P/WSJL）
（结束）道琼斯通讯社
2026年3月19日11:28（格林尼治时间15:28）
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