On February 6, 2026, as commodity and U.S. stock markets settled, the results of a community poll predicting prices for gold, silver, the Nasdaq index, and crude oil were finalized, with 11 one-hundred-yuan gift cards awarded. The survey attracted extensive participation from professional investors and seasoned traders. However, data revealed a clear "mismatch" between user expectations and actual market performance, highlighting the complexity of current market sentiment.

Gold: Optimistic Expectations Unmet, Price Settles in 4500-5000 Range In the London gold price poll, 48% of users (3,246 votes) bet that the price would break through 5,000 yuan, indicating strong bullish sentiment. However, the closing price settled at $4,959.54 per ounce, a result supported by only 36% of users. This suggests that while market expectations for gold's safe-haven appeal and inflation hedging were high, the actual price movement did not fully meet optimistic forecasts.

Silver: Divided Expectations, 70-90 Range Becomes Decisive The London silver poll results showed a clear polarization. 38% of users (1,553 votes) accurately predicted the closing price within the 70-90 yuan (inclusive) range, matching the support level (38%) for the "above 90 yuan" category. This reflects significant divergence in market judgment on silver prices, with intense back-and-forth between bulls and bears, ultimately finding balance in the middle range.

Nasdaq Index: Pessimism Prevails, 25,000 Level Reclaimed The poll results for the Nasdaq-100 index were the most dramatic. 63% of users (1,406 votes) believed the index would close below 25,000 points, with bearish sentiment dominating. However, the final closing point was 25,075.77, landing within the 25,000-25,500 point (inclusive) range, a result supported by only 13% of users. This "reversal" underscores the unpredictability of short-term market fluctuations and reinforces the investment adage that "the majority is often wrong."

Crude Oil: Slightly Higher Expectations, 60-65 Range Matches Reality The poll results for New York crude oil prices were relatively close to actual outcomes. 45% of users (609 votes) expected oil prices to be in the 65-70 yuan (inclusive) range, while the final closing price landed in the 60-65 yuan (inclusive) range, which received 37% support. This indicates a more consistent market view on the fundamental supply and demand dynamics for crude oil, with a relatively smaller deviation between expectations and actual price movement.

Conclusion: The Battle Between Expectation and Reality is a Perpetual Market Theme The community survey results reveal varying degrees of discrepancy between user market predictions and actual trends. The "unmet expectations" for gold and the Nasdaq were particularly notable, reflecting market sentiment volatility and uncertainty. For investors, this presents both challenges and opportunities—maintaining rationality and independent thinking may be the key to navigating complex market cycles.