尽管ADP数据疲软,天气因素或推高1月非农就业——市场评论

投资观察
Feb 04

尽管自动数据处理公司公布的私人部门就业数据低于预期,潘西恩宏观经济学的塞缪尔·汤姆斯指出,1月非农就业人数仍可能超出市场共识。数据显示上月仅新增2.2万个私营岗位,未能达到《华尔街日报》调查预测的4.5万。但潘西恩预计1月非农就业将增长10万人。原定周五发布的官方数据因本周政府部分停摆而延期发布。

汤姆斯分析称:"就业增长趋势可能仍维持在5-7.5万区间,但1月初异常温暖的天气条件,推动了建筑、休闲酒店、运输物流等行业的活动超常规活跃。"他预计劳动力市场将持续疲软,这将促使美联储面临降息压力。

(本文完)道琼斯通讯社 2026年2月4日09:37 ET(14:37 GMT)

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