Abstract

Carlisle will release its quarterly results on February 03, 2026 Post Market; this preview consolidates recent financials, segment dynamics, and consensus expectations to frame revenue, margins, and adjusted EPS outlook for the upcoming print and contextualize market sentiment.

Market Forecast

Consensus compiled around Carlisle’s latest guidance and models points to current-quarter revenue of USD 1.11 billion, with year-over-year decline of 3.89%, forecast EBIT of USD 188.72 million with a year-over-year decline of 23.19%, and forecast adjusted EPS of USD 3.59 with a year-over-year decline of 18.78%; margin commentary indicates a modest contraction versus last year, with gross profit and net profit margin likely softening alongside lower volumes. The main business is expected to be led by Carlisle Construction Materials, with a guarded demand backdrop in non-residential roofing and retrofit, while Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies should remain resilient in specialty applications and architectural segments. The most promising segment is Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies given product-mix differentiation and niche pricing power; last quarter it delivered USD 346.10 million in revenue with stable mix-driven margin support and a smaller exposure to cyclical re-roofing.

Last Quarter Review

Carlisle’s previous quarter posted revenue of USD 1.35 billion, gross profit margin of 36.02%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of USD 214.00 million, net profit margin of 15.90%, and adjusted EPS of USD 5.61, with year-over-year adjusted EPS decline of 2.94% and revenue growth of 1.00%. A notable highlight was operating execution exceeding consensus, with EBIT of USD 298.90 million surpassing estimates by USD 6.95 million despite mixed volume trends. The main business breakdown featured Carlisle Construction Materials at USD 1.00 billion revenue and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies at USD 346.10 million; Carlisle Construction Materials accounted for 74.30% of total revenue, with Weatherproofing Technologies contributing 25.70%.

Current Quarter Outlook

Carlisle Construction Materials

Carlisle Construction Materials remains the primary revenue engine and the key determinant of consolidated profitability given its scale and margin structure. The quarter’s modeling implies revenue compression in line with broader non-residential roofing and insulation spending pauses, which is consistent with the projected 3.89% year-over-year decline in total company revenue. Pricing has normalized after the prior cycle’s rapid increases, and volumes are moderating as distributors right-size inventories ahead of spring construction season. Margin implications include potential gross margin leakage relative to last year as the mix shifts toward maintenance and smaller reroof projects; however, cost discipline and sourcing initiatives should partially buffer the EBIT margin contraction modeled at 23.19% year-over-year. Execution on backlog conversion and bid calendars, along with project timing, will be central to whether the company can offset slower book-and-bill activity in certain regions.

Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies

Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies is positioned to contribute steadier results through differentiated product categories such as sealants, flashing, and architectural solutions. The segment’s smaller scale relative to Carlisle Construction Materials and its focus on specialty systems can mitigate cyclicality, supporting price/mix even as broader construction input costs fluctuate. In the previous quarter, segment revenue reached USD 346.10 million and benefitted from mix stability; this quarter, a similar dynamic is likely, with growth constrained by macro demand but supported by selective retrofit and envelope performance upgrades. Margin resilience is tied to product innovation and targeted distribution, with less reliance on large project cycles; this context informs expectations that Weatherproofing Technologies is the most promising segment for incremental margin support within a softer consolidated revenue environment.

Key Stock Price Drivers This Quarter

Stock performance around the print will hinge on the trajectory of non-residential roofing demand and any inflection signals in orders, backlog, or channel inventory levels. The company’s guidance cadence for 2026 and qualitative color on price/mix sustainability are critical for framing gross margin and net margin outlook, especially as cost inputs stabilize. Investors will also watch consolidated operating leverage and cash conversion, including working capital swings tied to seasonality; any commentary on capital allocation, including buybacks or targeted M&A within weatherproofing and building envelope solutions, can influence sentiment if it points to margin-accretive growth while maintaining disciplined returns.

Analyst Opinions

Recent institutional commentary coalesces around a cautiously constructive stance, with bullish opinions outweighing bearish ones based on expectations for stable execution despite macro headwinds and anticipated margin normalization. Analysts emphasize the durability of Carlisle’s building envelope portfolio and the potential for order stabilization into mid-year as distributors pivot from inventory digestion to replenishment, supporting a view that near-term EPS pressure is transitory. Well-followed sell-side voices highlight the company’s cost initiatives and pricing discipline as mechanisms to protect gross margin, while acknowledging the modeled declines in EBIT and EPS this quarter. The prevailing assessment is that Carlisle’s segment mix and balance sheet strength provide a cushion in a softer demand phase, and upside could emerge if backlog conversion and spring bid season trends signal improving reroof activity earlier than currently reflected in forecasts.