CFTC Data Reveals Dramatic Shifts: Gold Bulls Surge by Nearly 4,000 Contracts, Oil Jumps 13,000, While Natural Gas Plummets

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Yesterday

Recent data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) highlights significant movements in speculative positions across key commodities. The weekly Commitments of Traders report, a critical tool for gauging market sentiment, showed notable adjustments for the week ending February 24, 2026. Major shifts were observed in gold, oil, and natural gas, reflecting divergent views on macroeconomic conditions and risk.

In the precious metals sector, speculative net long positions for COMEX gold futures increased by 3,878 contracts, bringing the total to 99,937 contracts. This buildup indicates a renewed appetite for the traditional safe-haven asset, likely driven by heightened global uncertainties and fluctuating inflation expectations. Similarly, net long positions for silver futures rose by 1,822 contracts to 7,981 contracts, reinforcing a bullish outlook for the precious metals complex.

The energy market displayed a stark contrast. Speculative net long positions for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures surged by 13,173 contracts to 81,058 contracts, signaling strong expectations for demand recovery or supply constraints. Conversely, net long positions for natural gas futures across NYMEX and ICE contracts plummeted by 60,823 contracts to 63,987 contracts. This sharp reduction suggests factors such as high inventory levels, seasonal demand weakness, or profit-taking are at play.

For industrial metals, net long positions for COMEX copper futures decreased by 1,741 contracts to 50,959 contracts, pointing to caution regarding industrial demand prospects. In equity indices, a divergence was evident: while stock fund managers increased their net long positions in CME S&P 500 index futures by 36,890 contracts to 1,005,549 contracts, speculators simultaneously expanded their net short positions by 14,318 contracts to 465,965 contracts, highlighting a deeply divided market.

In the fixed income space, net long positions for CBOT U.S. Treasury futures fell by 1,351 contracts to 5,074 contracts, indicating a reassessment of interest rate expectations. The foreign exchange market also showed mixed signals: the Swiss franc held a net short position of 41,186 contracts, the Japanese yen maintained a net long position of 11,539 contracts, and the British pound recorded a substantial net short position of 57,072 contracts.

Overall, the latest CFTC report paints a picture of a market balancing bullish momentum in assets like gold and oil against caution in natural gas, copper, and certain currencies. Investors are advised to monitor these positioning extremes alongside macroeconomic data and policy developments to navigate potential volatility.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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