美联储理事米兰:现在调整对2026年四次降息的预期还为时过早

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3月23日,美联储理事米兰表示,央行不应依据美国及以色列在伊朗的冲突的相关短期因素来制定政策。米兰表示:“在真正改变我们的看法之前,我们应当先收集所有相关信息。而且我认为,要对未来12个月的情况有一个清晰的认识,目前还为时尚早。”中东地区的冲突导致油价大幅上涨,这既可能给通胀带来上行压力,又可能对经济增长和劳动力市场造成负面影响。

美联储在上周的会议上再次将基准利率维持不变,这是其连续第二次做出这一决定。政策制定者们承认,由于战争局势的加剧,经济不确定性有所增加,而美联储主席鲍威尔也强调,官员们需要看到在降低通胀方面取得更多进展。米兰对此决定表示反对,他倾向于将利率下调25个基点。不过米兰承认,如果油价持续高位运行,可能会逐渐波及其他商品和服务领域,但他表示,自己在战前提出的今年将进行四次降息的预期依然不变。

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