Kioxia's Market Value Plummets by Half from Peak as AI Boom Concerns Mount

Deep News
Jul 17

Since becoming Japan's most valuable company, the market capitalization of memory chip maker Kioxia has halved within a month, as investors grow increasingly concerned that the AI-driven industry rally has become overextended.

In early Friday trading in Tokyo, shares of Kioxia Holdings Corp plunged by as much as 14%, marking a 51% decline from last month's peak and erasing at least 29.5 trillion yen ($181.7 billion) in market value. Fueled by artificial intelligence enthusiasm, demand for memory and data storage surged, propelling Kioxia's stock to a year-to-date gain of over 600% by mid-June, which saw its market value surpass that of Toyota Motor Corp. Since then, however, its market ranking has fallen to become Japan's fourth-largest company.

Investors are now scrutinizing global chipmakers more closely, questioning whether the returns from massive AI investments can justify their high valuations. On Thursday, a key index of major U.S. chip stocks fell more than 4%.

In recent months, traders have adopted a more cautious stance toward artificial intelligence, selling related stocks and rotating capital into sectors that have lagged in performance.

Analysts remain optimistic about Kioxia's prospects, forecasting a potential return of approximately 118% over the next year. Additionally, an anticipated rebalancing of the Topix index in October is expected to trigger significant passive fund inflows.

However, a deepening sell-off poses further downside risk for Kioxia, exacerbated by leveraged positions held by Japanese retail investors. Some market participants view the potential exit of shareholder Bain Capital as a signal that the semiconductor cycle and the stock's rally may be nearing a peak.

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