美国对霍尔木兹海峡的封锁于昨日生效,此前美伊双方在周末的谈判未取得进展。然而投资者几乎未受影响:标普500指数最终反弹收涨1%。
事实上,这一涨幅足以抹平该基准指数自战争爆发以来的全部跌幅。目前指数较2月底收盘点位高出0.1%——虽是微小涨幅,但在两周前看来几乎不可思议。
正如我们此前提示,标普500指数自3月30日低点以来的快速回升,部分源于采取防御策略的对冲基金进行空头回补。但策略师指出,股价持续上涨可能引发更多需求。
英国投资平台AJ Bell市场主管丹·科茨沃斯表示:"投资者正抓住任何利好消息,因为他们已对伊朗危机带来的不确定性感到厌倦。"
卡森集团首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克指出,历史数据表明后市可能继续上涨。他特别强调,标普500指数出现连续七日上涨且累计涨幅超7%的情况实属罕见——这正是该指数自3月30日低点反弹以来的实际表现。
根据其测算,在以往出现此类情况后,标普500指数在随后一个月平均涨幅达4.4%。
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