市场观点:巴西央行或将交替采取降息与按兵不动策略

投资观察
Jun 23

巴西央行可能将交替采取暂停加息与下调基准利率的策略。此前,该行已将基准Selic利率从14.5%下调至14.25%,但未明确下一步动向。最新公布的会议纪要揭示了央行在面临顽固通胀与经济增长放缓风险时的政策考量。有分析指出,这种间歇性的降息举措“将有助于缓和产出波动,并使通胀在2028年第一季度回归目标区间”。总体而言,在短期增长与通胀的权衡中,货币政策委员会似乎更倾向于保护经济活动,而非采取更激进、以通胀为绝对核心的策略。

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